Etar Veliko Tarnovovs
Beroe
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 8/29/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Etar Veliko Tarnovo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2-2 Beroe
Original prediction
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.4% | 45.5% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.9% | 27.0% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.16 | 21.7% | 27.4% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80