GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 8/15/2026, 8:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Estudiantil CNI are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Comerciantes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.9% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

17.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estudiantil CNILWLDL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
ComerciantesDLWDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Estudiantil CNIComerciantes
54.5Attack41.7
60.6Defence75.0
36.4Form58.3
47.0Power60.6
0.86xG0.94
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