GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quilmes 2 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Quilmes 2 are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Quilmes 2 hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (33.0 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.7% in the Reserve League, while Quilmes 2 holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Quilmes 2

Probability

54.2%

Model confidence

24.7%

Quilmes 2 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2DDLWD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Quilmes 2WDWWD

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2Quilmes 2
16.7Attack36.4
48.5Defence78.8
24.2Form62.1
33.0Power60.6
0.36xG1.11
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