GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/19/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estudiantes L.P. · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Estudiantes L.P. are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Tacuary are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.50 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes L.P. hold a 45.3-point power-rating edge (74.6 v 29.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Estudiantes L.P. holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estudiantes L.P.

Probability

85.0%

Model confidence

85.0%

Estudiantes L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estudiantes L.P.WDWWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
TacuaryLD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.50/3.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Estudiantes L.P.Tacuary
69.4Attack47.6
88.9Defence0.0
72.2Form33.3
74.6Power29.3
3.25xG0.55
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