Estudiantes L.P.vs
San Lorenzo
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estudiantes L.P. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 San Lorenzo, with an exact score probability of 35%.
Prediction record
Final result
Estudiantes L.P. 1-2 San Lorenzo
Original prediction
Estudiantes L.P.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 45.2% | 47.8% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 30.8% | 35.7% | 4.9 pts |
| Away | 3.89 | 24.0% | 16.5% | -7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Projected Score
Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 San Lorenzo
Exact score probability: 35%
Predicted outcome
Estudiantes L.P.
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Estudiantes L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20