Estudiantes L.P.vs
Rosario Central
COMPLETEDArgentina · Super Copa International · 9/26/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estudiantes L.P. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Estudiantes L.P. 1-3 Rosario Central
Original prediction
Estudiantes L.P.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 32.3% | 36.8% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.78 | 33.3% | 29.8% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 34.3% | 33.4% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Estudiantes L.P.
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Estudiantes L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00