GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/8/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estudiantes L.P. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Estudiantes L.P. are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while RB Bragantino are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes L.P. hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (74.6 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Estudiantes L.P. holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estudiantes L.P.

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Estudiantes L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estudiantes L.P.WDWWD

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RB BragantinoLWWWD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Estudiantes L.P.RB Bragantino
69.4Attack48.1
88.9Defence77.8
72.2Form51.9
74.6Power58.0
1.24xG0.61
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