Estudiantes L.P.vs
Newells Old Boys
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estudiantes L.P. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Estudiantes L.P. 1-0 Newells Old Boys, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 Newells Old Boys
Original prediction
Estudiantes L.P.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 55.9% | 59.8% | 4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 27.3% | 26.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 5.59 | 16.8% | 13.2% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Projected Score
Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Newells Old Boys
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Estudiantes L.P.
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
59.8%
Estudiantes L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20