GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/2/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estudiantes L.P. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Estudiantes L.P. are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Goias are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes L.P. hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (74.6 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Estudiantes L.P. holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estudiantes L.P.

Probability

65.8%

Model confidence

65.8%

Estudiantes L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estudiantes L.P.WWWWL

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
GoiasDWDLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Estudiantes L.P.Goias
69.4Attack29.2
88.9Defence66.7
72.2Form50.0
74.6Power50.9
1.69xG0.40
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