Estudiantes L.P.vs
Gimnasia M.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estudiantes L.P. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 Gimnasia M., with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Estudiantes L.P. 3-0 Gimnasia M.
Original prediction
Estudiantes L.P.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 56.0% | 49.5% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 26.4% | 31.5% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 5.32 | 17.6% | 19.0% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Projected Score
Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 Gimnasia M.
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Estudiantes L.P.
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Estudiantes L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20