Estudiantes L.P.vs
Flamengo
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 10/16/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 Flamengo, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 Flamengo
Original prediction
Flamengo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.95 | 23.9% | 23.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 32.1% | 32.1% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 44.0% | 44.6% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.93 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Projected Score
Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 Flamengo
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Flamengo
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Estudiantes L.P.DWLLL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FlamengoWDWDW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo
40.0Attack66.7
76.7Defence83.3
56.7Form80.0
59.8Power77.1
0.60xG0.94