Estudiantes L.P.vs
Corinthians
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 9/10/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 Corinthians, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Estudiantes L.P. 1-1 Corinthians
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 40.4% | 37.7% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.74 | 34.3% | 34.6% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.72 | 25.3% | 27.7% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.74 · Draw 1.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Projected Score
Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 Corinthians
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
37.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Estudiantes L.P.LDWLW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CorinthiansLLLWL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Estudiantes L.P.Corinthians
41.7Attack37.5
75.0Defence83.3
54.2Form62.5
58.6Power62.6
0.76xG0.62