Estudiantes L.P.vs
Corinthians
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/30/2023, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estudiantes L.P. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Estudiantes L.P. are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Corinthians are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes L.P. hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (74.6 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Estudiantes L.P. holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Estudiantes L.P.
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Estudiantes L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00