Estudiantes L.P.vs
Barracas Central
COMPLETEDArgentina · Copa Argentina · 8/27/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estudiantes L.P. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Estudiantes L.P. 3-1 Barracas Central
Original prediction
Estudiantes L.P.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 49.2% | 46.0% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 31.4% | 28.6% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.80 | 19.4% | 25.4% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Estudiantes L.P.
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Estudiantes L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00