GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/19/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estudiantes L.P. · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Estudiantes L.P. are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Barcelona SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes L.P. hold a 37.1-point power-rating edge (74.6 v 37.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Estudiantes L.P. holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estudiantes L.P.

Probability

76.9%

Model confidence

76.9%

Estudiantes L.P. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estudiantes L.P.LLDDD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Barcelona SCWDLWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Estudiantes L.P.Barcelona SC
69.4Attack33.3
88.9Defence16.7
72.2Form50.0
74.6Power37.5
2.45xG0.51
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