Argentina · Reserve League · 4/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Estudiantes La Plata Res are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Gimnasia La Plata Res. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes La Plata Res hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20