GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 8/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Estudiantes La Plata Res 0-0 Boca Juniors Res., with an exact score probability of 21%.

Prediction record

Final result

Estudiantes La Plata Res 2-3 Boca Juniors Res.

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.3526.7%31.1%4.4 pts
Draw2.9130.7%31.9%1.2 pts
Away2.1042.6%37.1%-5.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.2 pts

Projected Score

Estudiantes La Plata Res 0–0 Boca Juniors Res.

Exact score probability: 21%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

31.9%

Model confidence

37.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estudiantes La Plata ResDWWDW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Boca Juniors Res.LDWWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Estudiantes La Plata ResBoca Juniors Res.
50.7Attack56.0
72.5Defence82.7
56.5Form64.0
60.3Power66.6
0.79xG0.86
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