Estudiantes de Merida FCvs
UCV
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estudiantes de Merida FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Estudiantes de Merida FC 1-1 UCV
Original prediction
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.5% | 37.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.8% | 26.4% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.7% | 36.1% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Estudiantes de Merida FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40