Estudiantes de Merida FCvs
Trujillanos FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estudiantes de Merida FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Estudiantes de Merida FC 1-0 Trujillanos FC, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Estudiantes de Merida FC 1-1 Trujillanos FC
Original prediction
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 58.4% | 62.4% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.2% | 22.8% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 5.20 | 17.5% | 14.8% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Projected Score
Estudiantes de Merida FC 1–0 Trujillanos FC
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Probability
62.4%
Model confidence
62.4%
Estudiantes de Merida FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40