Estudiantes de Merida FCvs
San Lorenzo
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/5/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
San Lorenzo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Estudiantes de Merida FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while San Lorenzo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (23.1 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while San Lorenzo holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
San Lorenzo
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
San Lorenzo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40