GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Primera División · 4/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portuguesa FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Estudiantes de Merida FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Portuguesa FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Portuguesa FC hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (46.6 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Primera División, while Portuguesa FC holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portuguesa FC

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

14.4%

Portuguesa FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estudiantes de Merida FCLWDLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Portuguesa FCDWDLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Estudiantes de Merida FCPortuguesa FC
39.4Attack48.5
53.0Defence63.6
40.9Form51.5
46.6Power55.4
0.90xG1.28
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