Estudiantes de Merida FCvs
Palestino
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/26/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Palestino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Estudiantes de Merida FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Palestino are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (23.1 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Palestino holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Palestino
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Palestino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00