GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Primera División · 4/19/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estudiantes de Merida FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Estudiantes de Merida FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Monagas SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes de Merida FC hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (46.6 v 43.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Primera División, while Estudiantes de Merida FC holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

14.4%

Estudiantes de Merida FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estudiantes de Merida FCWWLWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Monagas SCWLDLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Estudiantes de Merida FCMonagas SC
39.4Attack34.5
53.0Defence51.2
40.9Form35.7
46.6Power43.1
1.25xG0.88
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