Estudiantes de Merida FCvs
Metropolitanos FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 10/18/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metropolitanos FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Estudiantes de Merida FC 0-1 Metropolitanos FC, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Estudiantes de Merida FC 2-2 Metropolitanos FC
Original prediction
Metropolitanos FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 52.9% | 26.6% | -26.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.7% | 26.5% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 5.02 | 18.5% | 46.9% | 28.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
28.5 pts
Projected Score
Estudiantes de Merida FC 0–1 Metropolitanos FC
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Metropolitanos FC
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Metropolitanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20