Estudiantes de Merida FCvs
Fortaleza EC
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 6/6/2023, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fortaleza EC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Estudiantes de Merida FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Fortaleza EC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortaleza EC hold a 51.0-point power-rating edge (23.1 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.3% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Fortaleza EC holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fortaleza EC
Probability
84.3%
Model confidence
84.3%
Fortaleza EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80