Estudiantes de Merida FCvs
Deportivo Tachira FC
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/9/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Tachira FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Estudiantes de Merida FC are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WWLL), averaging 2.25 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Deportivo Tachira FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Tachira FC hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (23.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Deportivo Tachira FC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Tachira FC
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Deportivo Tachira FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 2.25/2.00
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80