GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/9/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Tachira FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Estudiantes de Merida FC are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WWLL), averaging 2.25 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Deportivo Tachira FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Tachira FC hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (23.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Deportivo Tachira FC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Tachira FC

Probability

52.9%

Model confidence

52.9%

Deportivo Tachira FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estudiantes de Merida FCWWLL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 2.25/2.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
Deportivo Tachira FCWWWLW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Estudiantes de Merida FCDeportivo Tachira FC
23.8Attack33.3
14.3Defence66.7
19.0Form33.3
23.1Power45.3
0.80xG1.61
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