Estudiantes de Merida FCvs
Deportivo Tachira FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/12/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Tachira FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Estudiantes de Merida FC 0-1 Deportivo Tachira FC, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Estudiantes de Merida FC 2-0 Deportivo Tachira FC
Original prediction
Deportivo Tachira FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 19:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.33 | 27.1% | 24.3% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.7% | 27.7% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.2% | 48.0% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Projected Score
Estudiantes de Merida FC 0–1 Deportivo Tachira FC
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Tachira FC
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Deportivo Tachira FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60