GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Primera División · 2/1/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estudiantes de Merida FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Estudiantes de Merida FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Caracas FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Estudiantes de Merida FC hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (46.6 v 43.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Primera División, while Estudiantes de Merida FC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estudiantes de Merida FC

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

14.4%

Estudiantes de Merida FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estudiantes de Merida FCLWWLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Caracas FCLDDWW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Estudiantes de Merida FCCaracas FC
39.4Attack39.6
53.0Defence50.0
40.9Form33.3
46.6Power43.5
1.28xG1.00
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