Estrella Rojavs
Real Espana
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 10/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Espana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Estrella Roja 0-1 Real Espana
Original prediction
Real Espana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.60 | 25.1% | 20.2% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 26.8% | 22.8% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 48.2% | 57.0% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.0–211%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Real Espana
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
Real Espana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60