Estrella Rojavs
Platense FC
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 9/12/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Estrella Roja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Estrella Roja 2-2 Platense FC
Original prediction
Estrella Roja
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 48.4% | 58.5% | 10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.3% | 21.7% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 3.68 | 24.3% | 19.8% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Estrella Roja
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Estrella Roja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20