Estrella Rojavs
CD Olimpia
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 8/30/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CD Olimpia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Estrella Roja 2-2 CD Olimpia
Original prediction
CD Olimpia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.80 | 32.4% | 34.2% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.4% | 26.4% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.2% | 39.3% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
CD Olimpia
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
CD Olimpia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 2.25/1.25
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00