Estrella Del Survs
Yupanqui
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Estrella Del Sur 0-0 Yupanqui, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Estrella Del Sur 1-1 Yupanqui
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 43.9% | 37.6% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 30.8% | 32.6% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 25.3% | 29.8% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.91 · Draw 1.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Projected Score
Estrella Del Sur 0–0 Yupanqui
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Estrella Del SurLDLWW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
YupanquiLLLDW
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Estrella Del SurYupanqui
33.3Attack38.3
67.9Defence61.7
48.1Form40.7
51.5Power48.3
0.83xG0.67