Estrella Del Survs
Victoriano Arenas
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 8/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Estrella Del Sur 0-0 Victoriano Arenas, with an exact score probability of 40%.
Prediction record
Final result
Estrella Del Sur 1-1 Victoriano Arenas
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 36.6% | 33.5% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.57 | 34.9% | 40.3% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 28.5% | 26.3% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.57 · Draw 1.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Projected Score
Estrella Del Sur 0–0 Victoriano Arenas
Exact score probability: 40%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Estrella Del SurLWWLD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Victoriano ArenasWLDWD
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Estrella Del SurVictoriano Arenas
34.7Attack25.3
69.3Defence81.3
50.7Form46.7
53.2Power53.4
0.51xG0.43