GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 3/16/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Estrella Del Sur are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.67 conceded, while SAT Moreno are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella Del SurWLW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 1.33/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
SAT MorenoWDL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.33/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Estrella Del SurSAT Moreno
51.9Attack50.0
76.5Defence86.7
71.6Form80.0
67.7Power72.9
0.79xG0.67
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