GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 7/20/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estrella Del Sur · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Estrella Del Sur are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Provincial are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella Del Sur hold a 41.0-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.6% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Estrella Del Sur holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estrella Del Sur

Probability

85.6%

Model confidence

85.6%

Estrella Del Sur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella Del SurWLDLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
ProvincialLLWDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Estrella Del SurProvincial
51.9Attack23.3
76.5Defence26.7
71.6Form23.3
67.7Power26.7
2.71xG0.28
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