Estrella Del Survs
Mercedes
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 4/5/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Estrella Del Sur are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mercedes are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.7 against 54.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80