Primera CPrimera C
Saturday, 18 July 202619:00Updated today
Estrella Del Sur

Estrella Del Sur

Home
W
vs
19:00
Lujan

Lujan

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
Estrella Del Sur(38%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Estrella Del Sur
38%
Draw
35%
Lujan
27%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Estrella Del Sur
94
Lujan
9
Defence
Estrella Del Sur
91
Lujan
27
Momentum
Estrella Del Sur
100
Lujan
0
Danger (xG)
Estrella Del Sur
2.70
Lujan
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Estrella Del Sur)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Lujan)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Estrella Del Sur)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Lujan)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Estrella Del SurEstrella Del Sur
WD
LujanLujan
L

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
Estrella Del Sur38%
Draw35%
Lujan27%

Estrella Del Sur leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Estrella Del Sur head into this in Primera C fixture in mixed form (W), while Lujan arrive in mixed form (L). Estrella Del Sur have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Lujan over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Estrella Del Sur's elite attack (94/100) faces a vulnerable Lujan defence (27/100), while Lujan's attack is up against a watertight Estrella Del Sur backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Estrella Del Sur's favour.

Estrella Del Sur have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Lujan have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Estrella Del Sur and Lujan in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Estrella Del Sur to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Estrella Del Sur 3848%, Draw 3500%, Lujan 2652%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Estrella Del Sur

Estrella Del Sur

W
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
28 Jun 2026
30
D
@ Yupanqui
16 May 2026
00
Lujan

Lujan

L
@ Sportivo Barracas
29 Jun 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Estrella Del Sur vs Lujan?

GoalVio's model predicts Estrella Del Sur to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Estrella Del Sur vs Lujan?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Estrella Del Sur vs Lujan?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Estrella Del Sur vs Lujan?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more