GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 5/23/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Estrella Del Sur are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lugano are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.7 against 55.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella Del SurDDLWL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
LuganoDWLDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Estrella Del SurLugano
34.8Attack39.1
71.0Defence71.0
50.7Form52.2
53.7Power55.6
0.65xG0.63
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