GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/1/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estrella Del Sur · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Estrella Del Sur are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ezeiza are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella Del Sur hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 44.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.7% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Estrella Del Sur holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estrella Del Sur

Probability

63.7%

Model confidence

63.7%

Estrella Del Sur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella Del SurWDWWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
EzeizaWWWWL

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Estrella Del SurEzeiza
51.9Attack27.3
76.5Defence57.6
71.6Form39.4
67.7Power44.1
1.52xG0.33
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