GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 4/1/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estrella Del Sur · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Estrella Del Sur are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Everton La Plata are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella Del Sur hold a 27.7-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Estrella Del Sur holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estrella Del Sur

Probability

52.9%

Model confidence

52.9%

Estrella Del Sur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella Del SurWWWLW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Everton La PlataDWLWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Estrella Del SurEverton La Plata
51.9Attack16.7
76.5Defence69.4
71.6Form25.0
67.7Power40.0
1.11xG0.29
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