GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 5/18/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estrella Del Sur · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Estrella Del Sur are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Estrella de Berisso are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella Del Sur hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Estrella Del Sur holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estrella Del Sur

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

54.3%

Estrella Del Sur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella Del SurLDLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Estrella de BerissoDLDLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Estrella Del SurEstrella de Berisso
51.9Attack43.3
76.5Defence60.0
71.6Form46.7
67.7Power50.2
1.41xG0.54
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