GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/14/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Estrella Del Sur are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Deportivo Metalurgico are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Metalurgico hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 70.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella Del SurDWWDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo MetalurgicoWWLLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Estrella Del SurDeportivo Metalurgico
51.9Attack57.6
76.5Defence78.8
71.6Form75.8
67.7Power70.3
0.79xG0.76
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