GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/22/2024, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Estrella Del Sur are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Deportivo Camioneros are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Camioneros hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 75.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella Del SurWDWWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo CamionerosWWLDW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Estrella Del SurDeportivo Camioneros
51.9Attack76.5
76.5Defence74.1
71.6Form76.5
67.7Power75.0
0.85xG0.96
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