GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/3/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Estrella Del Sur are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Defensores Glew are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensores Glew hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 71.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella Del SurWWWLD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Defensores GlewDLLWW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Estrella Del SurDefensores Glew
51.9Attack80.0
76.5Defence76.7
71.6Form66.7
67.7Power71.6
0.80xG0.95
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