GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/16/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Estrella Del Sur are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Belgrano Zarate are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella Del Sur hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella Del SurWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Belgrano ZarateLLDLD

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Estrella Del SurBelgrano Zarate
51.9Attack25.0
76.5Defence80.6
71.6Form47.2
67.7Power53.5
0.84xG0.31
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