GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 10/6/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estrella Del Sur · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Estrella Del Sur are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Atletico Pilar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella Del Sur hold a 38.1-point power-rating edge (67.7 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.0% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Estrella Del Sur holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estrella Del Sur

Probability

79.0%

Model confidence

79.0%

Estrella Del Sur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella Del SurWWWDW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico PilarWWLDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Estrella Del SurAtletico Pilar
51.9Attack26.7
76.5Defence40.0
71.6Form16.7
67.7Power29.5
2.24xG0.31
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