GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 9/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estrella Del Sur · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Estrella Del Sur 0-0 Argentino Rosario, with an exact score probability of 24%.

Prediction record

Final result

Estrella Del Sur 2-1 Argentino Rosario

Original prediction

Estrella Del Sur

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6454.1%47.2%-6.9 pts
Draw3.1628.1%31.5%3.4 pts
Away4.9917.8%21.3%3.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.9 pts

Projected Score

Estrella Del Sur 0–0 Argentino Rosario

Exact score probability: 24%

Predicted outcome

Estrella Del Sur

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Estrella Del Sur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella Del SurDDLDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Argentino RosarioDLDDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Estrella Del SurArgentino Rosario
33.3Attack29.9
67.8Defence57.5
47.1Form27.6
51.2Power40.7
0.95xG0.51
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