GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 4/12/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

SAT Moreno · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Estrella de Berisso are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while SAT Moreno are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and SAT Moreno hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while SAT Moreno holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

SAT Moreno

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

SAT Moreno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella de BerissoDWWDW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SAT MorenoLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Estrella de BerissoSAT Moreno
43.3Attack50.0
60.0Defence86.7
46.7Form80.0
50.2Power72.9
0.62xG1.18
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