GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 8/18/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estrella de Berisso · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Estrella de Berisso are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Provincial are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella de Berisso hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.4% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Estrella de Berisso holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estrella de Berisso

Probability

72.4%

Model confidence

72.4%

Estrella de Berisso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella de BerissoDWDDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ProvincialWLLLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Estrella de BerissoProvincial
43.3Attack23.3
60.0Defence26.7
46.7Form23.3
50.2Power26.7
2.14xG0.49
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