GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 7/28/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Estrella de Berisso are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nautico Hacoaj are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nautico Hacoaj hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Estrella de BerissoDLDLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Nautico HacoajWWDDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Estrella de BerissoNautico Hacoaj
43.3Attack33.3
60.0Defence84.8
46.7Form54.5
50.2Power58.9
0.65xG0.75
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